Raisi vs Rouhani, which future for Iran?

18 May 2017
(Image credit: shahrvand.ir)

Tomorrow 56 million Iranians are expected to go to the ballot box to vote in the 12th presidential election. At the end of a fierce electoral campaign, it is now clear it will be a duel between incumbent President Hassan Rouhani and the challenger, Ebrahim Raisi. These two clerics, the former supported by reformists and technocrats and the latter by conservatives and ultraradicals, are the last two candidates still in the running after the other two prominent contenders, Jahangiri and Qalibaf, withdrew in favour of Rouhani and Raisi, respectively. The outcome of the presidential election – the first after the signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in July 2015 and the death of Rafsanjani, former president and kingmaker of Iranian politics, earlier this year – will be determined mainly by economics, specifically the popular perception of the disputed economic benefits which were supposed to follow the removal of nuclear–related sanctions. While none of the candidates has outspokenly threatened to repeal the deal, on Friday Iranians will vote for two opposing visions of Iran.

Timeline
 
Infographics
 
 
 
Pejman Abdolmohammadi
Università di Genova and London School of Economics
 
 
 
Sara Bazoobandi
Regent’s University London and Chatham House
 
 
 
Sanam Vakil
Chatham House and Johns Hopkins University

 
 
 
Annalisa Perteghella
ISPI
 
 
From the shelf
 
Books
 
Global Outlook