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  • Home
  • RESEARCH
    • CENTRES
    • Asia
    • Cybersecurity
    • Europe and Global Governance
    • Business Scenarios
    • Middle East and North Africa
    • Radicalization and International Terrorism
    • Russia, Caucasus and Central Asia
    • Infrastructure
    • PROGRAMMES
    • Africa
    • Energy Security
    • Global cities
    • Latin America
    • Migration
    • Religions and International Relations
    • Transatlantic Relations
  • ISPI SCHOOL
  • Publications
  • EVENTS
  • CORPORATE PROGRAMME
    • about us
    • Closed-door meetings
    • Scenario Conferences
    • Members
    • Executive Education
  • EXPERTS

EXPERT RELEASES

Nicola Nobile

Europe and Global Governance, Business Scenarios
Eurozone: Facing Headwinds
According to the most recent data, the eurozone economy slowed markedly during winter. Recent surveys have been quite negative following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, although the easing of Covid...
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Europe and Global Governance, Business Scenarios
Missili sulla ripresa
As anticipated, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has led us to lower Oxford Economics forecasts for European countries. The speed at which events are unfolding means that uncertainty remains extremely...
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Europe and Global Governance, Business Scenarios
Sale lo spread, non l'allarme
Government bond yields in the eurozone surged after the ECB’s hawkish shift at its February meeting. The shivers were felt throughout the EZ (Figure 1). The periphery was hit hard, with yields...
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Europe and Global Governance, Business Scenarios
Ripresa economica: piede sul freno?
Eurozone GDP in Q3 surprised on the upside with growth of 2.2% q/q, driven by strong support from private consumption. But going forward, the outlook for Q4 is less bright. High-frequency indicators...
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Business Scenarios
Ripresa economica: Italia, sulle ali della crescita
National accounts show that Italy’s GDP expanded by a strong 2.7% q/q in Q2, an improvement from the 0.2% increase in Q1. As expected, growth in Q2 was driven by a strong recovery in services...
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Europe and Global Governance, Business Scenarios
EU: Towards New Fiscal Rules?
EU fiscal rules will very likely remain on hold until at least 2022.   Last year, eurozone countries were able to implement sizeable fiscal easing after the EU triggered the general escape clause of...
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Business Scenarios
Italy: the possible impact of the "Draghinomics"
Italy’s new Prime Minister Draghi has made it clear that his government will be reformist and pro-European. In his remarks to Parliament when seeking a vote of confidence he laid out his government’s...
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Business Scenarios
Coronavirus-Led Divergences Won’t Be a Long-Term Threat
The coronavirus shock is threatening the eurozone on several fronts, not only from a purely economic perspective. And while there will be a further integration, the outbreak’s diverse impacts and the...
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Europe and Global Governance, Business Scenarios
Recovery Fund to Boost Europe’s Fiscal Response
The EU Recovery Fund proposed  by the EU Commission would be an important building block of the region’s policy response to the coronavirus crisis. It broadly mirrors the Franco-German proposal,...
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Europe and Global Governance, Business Scenarios
Italy: how to Avoid Falling into a Looming Debt Trap
The combination of the government’s emergency policies and the plunge in economic activity means Italy’s fiscal health will see a massive blow. As analyzed in the most recent briefing, in our...
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