While the pandemic has monopolised attention over the past two years, it’s far from the only story, as tectonic changes continue on the world stage and the “great transition” picks up pace.
As well as the traditional dynamics of international power, torn between US-China bipolarism and the ambitions of old and new regional actors, this Report explores the other major transitions taking place. Firstly, the economic transition of a world deeper and deeper in debt and now seeing the return of state intervention. Secondly, the transition of the democracies and international law, or more precisely, their dual “crisis” in the face of contrasting models. And thirdly, the environmental and digital transitions, which will be key features of the decades to come.
Intertwining inextricably with each other, these transitions will shape the major trends in regional politics and, in turn, be shaped by them. That’s why Italy and Europe are facing momentous challenges, which the ISPI 2022 Report strives to outline, to equip readers with a compass for a changing world.
Table of Contents
Introduction, Alessandro Colombo, Paolo Magri
I - The Dimensions of the Great Transition
1. Towards A Post-Western World?
Alessandro Colombo (University of Milan and ISPI)
2. The Great Economic Transition
Franco Bruni (ISPI and Boccony University), Edoardo Campanella (Harvard Kennedy School e Trilateral Commission)
3. The Crisis of Democracy and the Risk of an Authoritarian Tide
Andrea Cassani (University of Milan)
4. Climate and Energy Transition,
Marzio Galeotti (University of Milan)
5. Back to the Future? The Ghost of R2P and the Dilemmas of the Global Order
Luca Scuccimarra (La Sapienza University, Rome)
6. The Technological-Digital Transition
Michele Sorice (LUISS University, Rome)
II - Regional Transition
7. The European Union in 2022: Continuity or Transformation?
Sonia Lucarelli (University of Bologna)
8. The MENA Region in Transition: Old Challenges and New Opportunities
Armando Sanguini (ISPI)
9. The Return of the Islamic Emirate in Afghanistan and Its Repercussions for the Region
Elisa Giunchi (University of Milan)
10. Indo-Pacific: The Rise of a New Geopolitical Space
Filippo Fasulo (ISPI)
11. Russia 2021. A Good Year?
Aldo Ferrari (University Ca' Foscari, Venice and ISPI), Eleonora Tafuro Ambrosetti (ISPI)
12. Major External Players in Africa: A "Competitive Chain"
Giovanni Carbone (University of Milan and ISPI)
Conclusion, Giampiero Massolo (ISPI, President)