Se il Sunday Times, nel riferire dell’inedito ribaltone elettorale nell’Irlanda del Nord, titola a caratteri cubitali “Sinn Fein win reawakens Brexit tensions”, allora davvero quelli che per anni sono stati definiti “Scaremongers”, profeti di sventura, non avevano tutti i torti.
Nel giorno della Vittoria contro la Germania nazista Putin accusa la Nato: “Ci minacciava”. Da Strasburgo per la giornata dell’Europa, Macron risponde: “Non siamo in guerra contro Mosca”.
Most of the developed world reacted to Russian government’s military operations in Ukraine with a prompt economic counteroffensive.
Foreign producers who have heavily invested in Russia over the past two decades – betting on Russia’s political stability, size, and access to the post-Soviet market - now face a hard choice: how to do business without losing face. Many are considering to go-in-between jurisdictions (Armenia, Kazakhstan, Serbia, etc.) to continue trading with Russia to circumvent sanctions.
11mila soldati, 131 mezzi militari di terra e missili balistici termonucleari in grado di colpire fino a 12mila chilometri di distanza. Questo è l’apparato militare messo oggi in mostra da Mosca per il 77esimo anniversario del Giorno della Vittoria sui nazisti: una parata che dal 2008 proprio Putin ha reso annuale per mostrare i muscoli dell’esercito russo.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to increased oppression against opposition activists, NGOs, and journalists within the country. Civil society organizations are trying to survive under the new political and economic conditions, with many activists and experts fleeing Russia.
“Tenere fuori l’Unione Sovietica, dentro gli americani, e sotto i tedeschi” (“to keep the Soviet Union out, the Americans in, and the Germans down”).
“I condemn Russia’s offensive against the Ukrainian people in Donbas. We must (…) impose peace on Russia so that Ukraine regains its full sovereignty.” Such were the blunt words against the Kremlin pronounced by French far-right politician and Vladimir Putin’s long-time ally, Marine Le Pen.
Russia’s lack of a major success in the war against Ukraine and the unexpected scale of Western sanctions have brought uncertainty to Sino-Russian relations. Their power asymmetry as well as Moscow’s dependence on Beijing’s imports is likely to have deepened. The limitations of the ‘alliance in all but name’ have come to the fore, too. While Beijing has continued its incessant political support, echoing and amplifying the Kremlin’s justifications for war, we have not witnessed any substantial economic or military assistance so far.
Economic sanctions imposed by the EU against Russia aim at weakening Moscow’s economy by cutting it off trade flows with European countries. So far, six rounds of sanctions have been introduced, but have they been effective? Are they going to harm European economies as well, and to what extent? In the short term, Europe growth prospects will be affected; but in the medium to long run, it might be possible for the EU to strengthen its trade partnerships with other countries thanks to its extensive networks of Preferential Trade Agreements.