China is the elephant in the (Asian) room. Its resolute reaction to the visit of US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi to Taipei, its clear will to 're-unify' Mainland China with Taiwan, together with the never-ending disputes in the East China Sea are pushing Japan to adopt a more active approach to regional geopolitics. To put it bluntly, traditional military deterrence and containment is the name of the game, and Japan is ready to play. As such, is China really planning to attack and annex Taiwan? If so, when?
China’s reaction to US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan was resolute. The military exercises with live-fire drill were a nearly Pavlovian reaction suggesting they were long pre-planned. China’s message to the US and the international community was a clear warning not to assist Taiwan, oppose a reunification, prevent a military escalation, or provide political support through visits and exchanges.
The latest India-Japan 2+2 Foreign and Defence Ministerial Dialogue in September reiterated the two partners’ commitment to greater regional cooperation and integration in the Indo-Pacific. The 2+2 meetings are intended to provide “strategic guidance” to boost India-Japan ties, which were upgraded to Special Strategic and Global Partnership in 2014 by Prime Ministers Narendra Modi and Shinzo Abe.
La visita di Nancy Pelosi e le esercitazioni militari senza precedenti della Repubblica Popolare Cinese intorno a Taiwan stanno cambiando le "regole del gioco". Sul fronte strategico con la cancellazione della cosiddetta "linea mediana": il confine non ufficiale e non riconosciuto ma rispettato fino al mese scorso da Pechino a garanzia di una zona cuscinetto tra le due sponde dello Stretto.
The current crisis in the Taiwan Strait— ignited by US Senate Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit in August — is the latest and most serious escalation of tensions so far. Unprecedentedly large live military air and sea drills, intimidation tactics, and increasing grey zone activities are, in a way, already changing the status quo in the Strait. The question of international support to Taiwan in this context has never been more acute, and Europe can hardly remain idle.
Japan’s official stance on its ‘one-China policy’ has not changed, and it still clearly wishes to obviate any Sino-Japanese tensions or unnecessary entanglement in a Taiwan Straits conflict.
The gloves are off. Japan would – in the case of an unprovoked Chinese attack against Taiwan – get involved defending Taiwan militarily, showcasing that there is no scenario in which Japan could avoid getting involved in a military conflict scenario in the Taiwan Strait.
In Pakistan oltre 1200 vittime per le alluvioni, mentre un terzo del paese è sott’acqua. Il ministro: “I paesi ricchi paghino per i disastri causati dai cambiamenti climatici”.
In un rapporto sulla minoranza uigura nello Xinjiang, l’Onu accusa la Cina di possibili violazioni dei diritti umani. Pechino insorge: “è falso”.
After US Speaker of House Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan between August the 2nd and 3rd, frictions over Taiwan’s status have accelerated.