Despite the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the government of Côte d’Ivoire stands firm in their intention to hold presidential polls as scheduled on 31 October. However, because of the exclusion of numerous candidates and the decision of incumbent President Alassane Ouattara to run for a third term, the elections will be controversial and risk being accompanied by violence and loss of life.
The 2015 presidential election in Côte d’Ivoire will be on many respects different from the 2010 election that spurred the resumption of the Ivorian civil war. There is no comparable risk of violence and it seems likely that the elections will be peaceful, with minor sporadic incidents. However, the positive impact of the election on democratization and peacebuilding is questionable.