Guerra

After 8 months of heavy fighting, it seems that Mosul is next to be liberated. However, this would not mark the complete defeat of IS in Iraq, nor would it signal the end of the crises affecting the country.

What will be the fate of the city and the other liberated territories? Could a victory over a common enemy re-ignite competition among Iraq’s various ethno-sectarian communities? And could this prompt further demands for autonomy by the Kurds, who played a central role in fighting IS? What are the interests and agendas of the main regional and international players for the future of the country?

To put all these questions into perspective, ISPI has just published the Report “After Mosul: Re-inventing Iraq,” edited by Andrea Plebani. The volume sketches out possible answers through a multi-pronged approach, bringing to light the complexity of the Iraqi scenario and the influence exerted by a broad array of actors.

The American pivot to Asia, the increasing military capabilities of China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and the growing threat posed by the nuclear and ballistic program of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), have accelerated the evolution of the US-Japan alliance that had started after the end of the Cold War. 

As have been explained elsewhere in this dossier North Korea is flexing its military muscles actively and consciously increasing the risk of a military conflict with South Korea and its allies-small scale or not so small-scale.

Somalia is coming out of 20 years of transitional and interim administrations that had spawned statelessness, protracted conflicts, political vacuum and warlordism. After more than two decades, the country has assumed its full responsibility of post transitional government, has adopted a new and federal Constitution, has appointed a new president and a new PM and has completed the downsizing of Members of Parliament.
Given Somalia’s recent past, this has been an historical moment. 

Dall’incontro dei partner della NATO del 4 ottobre sembra essere emerso un assenso generale ad un intervento militare turco contro Damasco senza il coinvolgimento militare del resto dell’alleanza. Lei ritiene plausibile un’azione militare turca senza supporto occidentale? E quali potrebbero essere le reazioni di Iran e Russia?