Ukraine

Soffiano venti di guerra in Ucraina. Domani a Parigi colloqui “in formato Normandia” per cercare una via d’uscita.

Russian troops on the Ukrainian border ring the alarm bell for a possible invasion. A geopolitical rather than military strategy.

Recently publicized evidence of massive Russian military presence at the border between the Russian Federation and the self-proclaimed “People’s Republics” in the Donbas region of Ukraine has once again drawn the attention of the international public and policy-makers around this ongoing conflict.

The majority of Ukrainians consider the UN peacekeeping mission to be the most preferable way to resolve the conflict in eastern Ukraine. However, proposals for said UN peacekeeping intervention, like any other peacekeeping mission, have never been a subject of serious negotiations, either between Kyiv and Russia-backed rebels or between Kyiv and Moscow in the Normandy format.

Last May, President Volodymyr Zelensky took office promising to end the then-five-year old war with Russia – to “just stop the shooting”. As his administration approaches its one-year anniversary, however, Zelensky’s peacebuilding efforts face backlash in Kiev, skepticism in Moscow, and hostility in the Russian-backed breakaways in Donbass.

Before his unexpected victory in Ukraine’s presidential elections, the comedian and political novice Volodymyr Zelensky’s engagement with civil society was almost non-existent.

One year is a very short period of time in which to conclude whether a new president has brought substantial changes to a country’s foreign policy, and even more so when considering, as in the case of Ukraine, a country at war whose orientations towards the West, the EU, and the US are already rooted in important decisions taken by previous leadership; since 2019, Euro-Atlantic integration has been an explicitly stated objective within Ukraine’s Constitu

When a journalist asked Ukraine’s Foreign Minister, Dmytro Kuleba, to name a “red line” which would make him resign, he said that it would be the abandonment of Ukraine’s pro-Western course. The words of Minister Kuleba very tellingly describe the essence and drivers of efforts and reforms in Ukraine.

The ongoing interest in Ukraine can be easily understood. The armed conflict in Donbass has become the most serious and dangerous challenge to European security since the collapse of Yugoslavia and the subsequent series of ethno-political clashes in the Balkans in the 1990s and early 2000s.

It has been a year since a relatively young and absolutely unexperienced presidential candidate Volodymyr Zelensky was elected. In the first round of presidential elections (March 31, 2019), where 39 candidates competed to lead Ukraine, Zelensky got over 30% of votes. The incumbent, his closest competitor, got a bit more than 15%.

One year ago, the election of Volodymyr Zelensky as the president of Ukraine made the headlines: not only was he a comedian with no previous political experience but he was also elected with a whopping majority.

2019 is a super-electoral year for Ukraine. A country that survived the tragic change of regime and annexation of Crimea in 2014 and lived through a war in Donbass is expected to re-elect its president in the spring and its parliament in the fall 2019.