by ISPI Energy Watch - On December 17, 2014, Governor Andrew Cuomo announced a ban to fracking in New York State. In itself, the decision will have almost no material impact on the industry development, as it just prevents operations on a minor edge of the Marcellus shale. The 2005 Energy Policy Act exempted certain fracking-related activities from the federal standards of the Safe Drinking Act and of the Clean Water Act respectively, leaving to each State to set its own; and since then the stringency of the standards has often been inversely proportional to the enacting State’s shale potential. This time, it is voiced, it could be different. The decision could be the first of a series, and potentially initiate a rally against fracking elsewhere in the US.
by Diana Shendrikova - From Russia with energy is a weekly column of ISPI Energy Watch, aimed at bringing about the latest issues of Russia’s Energy Policy and at acquainting readers of the latest development in Russia’s economy and politics in response to the low oil prices and global geopolitical issues by analyzing the latest research on the topic and debate in the national media.
by Diana Shendrikova - From Russia with energy is a weekly column of ISPI Energy Watch, aimed at bringing about the latest issues of Russia’s Energy Policy and at acquainting readers of the latest development in Russia’s economy and politics in response to the low oil prices and global geopolitical issues by analyzing the latest research on the topic and debate in the national media.
by Simona Benedettini - Last Thursday, by acknowledging the duty imposed by the Third Legislative Package on National Regulatory Authorities to monitor “the level and effectiveness of market opening and competition at wholesale and retail levels”, the Italian Regulator released a report on the results of the monitoring activity concerning both the power and gas retail markets for the years 2012 and 2013.
by ISPI Energy Watch - Shale oil industry is the most closely observed player amid recent oil dynamics. It is the real element of novelty in the current oil crisis, having allowed a once-in-a-lifetime unexpected and largely underestimated increase of the US production by 80% since 2008, from just 5 Mbbl/d to more than 9 Mbbl/d. As oil prices started to drop – when the robust global supply fed by shale lymph matched in June 2014 with signals that Chinese demand was hitting the brakes – many betted that shale oil would have been the most likely production to be taken out of the market. However, after 7 months and a 60% drop in international prices, there is still not much evidence that this will happen.
by Diana Shendrikova - From Russia with energy is a weekly column of ISPI Energy Watch, aimed at bringing about the latest issues of Russia’s Energy Policy and at acquainting readers of the latest development in Russia’s economy and politics in response to the low oil prices and global geopolitical issues by analyzing the latest research on the topic and debate in the national media.
by ISPI Energy Watch - Since the Second Energy Legislative Package which established specific deadlines for the liberalization of electricity and gas retail markets - July 2004 for industrial customers and July 2007 for private households – the Italian gas and power retail markets have still to accomplish important steps to acknowledge their full liberalization.
by ISPI Energy Watch - The oil price falls, and there is a mushrooming of suggestions that this provides us with opportunity, room and time for introducing a carbon tax. At first sight the idea may look fascinating. The downsides of cheap oil may include slowing down the path towards going green; and they may also increase carbon sources consumption meanwhile. Let’s tax (directly or indirectly) their consumption, and this alone will take us back to the magic equilibrium we enjoyed when the barrel was stably exceeding 100 dollars apiece.
by Diana Shendrikova - From Russia with energy is a weekly column of ISPI Energy Watch, aimed at bringing about the latest issues of Russia’s Energy Policy and at acquainting readers of the latest development in Russia’s economy and politics in response to the low oil prices and global geopolitical issues by analyzing the latest research on the topic and debate in the national media.
by ISPI Energy Watch - The road to Energy Union is paved of good intentions but to a lesser extent of good works. Actually, though Energy Union is a top priority agenda item, as recently stated by the newly appointed commissioners Miguel Arrias Cañete and Maroš Šefčovič, the realization of the necessary electricity infrastructure is still a chimera.
by Diana Shendrikova - From Russia with energy is a weekly column of ISPI Energy Watch, aimed at bringing about the latest issues of Russia’s Energy Policy and at acquainting readers of the latest development in Russia’s economy and politics in response to the low oil prices and global geopolitical issues by analyzing the latest research on the topic and debate in the national media.
by ISPI Energy Watch - The European Union, thanks to the ECB and its quantitative easing, has finally shown a hint of financial unity, but much remains to be done to foster the single market. The case of energy is paradigmatic: despite many efforts, the creation of a single, Europe-wide market is still far away. Even if there's no need for a "big bang", also a piecemeal and progressive evolution is a major challenge whose timing cannot be taken for granted.
by Nicolò Rossetto - The year just behind us has been a tough one for the Italian electricity sector. As the data recently released by Terna and the Gestore dei Servizi Energetici shows, output and prices decreased vis-à-vis 2013 and they are now significantly lower than the heights reached before the economic crisis. Indeed, what seemed to be only a temporary halt in the always increasing trend of consumption is now something more like a structural change. Utilities and public authorities should be aware of that and be ready for a significant transformation of business models as well as for a fundamental downsizing of the industry.
by Diana Shendrikova - From Russia with energy is a weekly column of ISPI Energy Watch, aimed at bringing about the latest issues of Russia’s Energy Policy and at acquainting readers of the latest development in Russia’s economy and politics in response to the low oil prices and global geopolitical issues by analyzing the latest research on the topic and debate in the national media.
by Matteo Verda - Natural gas consumption in Italy dropped 12% in 2014. In one year, 7.9 Bcm of demand went missing, while reduction during the past four years amounted to more than 20 Bcm. Power sector accounted for the largest share of this reduction, due to the overall decrease of electricity demand and to the competition of subsidised renewable sources.
ISPI released a new publication in Italian: "Energia e geopolitica. Gli attori e le tendenze del prossimo decennio" ("Energy and geopolitics. Actors and tendencies for the next decade"), edited by Matteo Verda.
Oil price dropping 50% or more in a few months should be good news for the economies of consuming countries. Thus, we are flooded with the econometrics of the expected raise in national GDP; and daily presented with the goodies that cheap oil will deliver to economic growth. That we will benefit in the short term may be a fact (history will tell); and how much we will benefit we can thus leave to modelling. That there may also be downsides seems however to attract less interest and literature. And unfortunately downsides there are, and may be as bad as to overcome short-term benefits.
Massimo Nicolazzi, head of the ISPI Energy Watch, delivered today the opening lecture at the annual conference of the Centro studi di economia tecnica dell’energia Giorgio Levi Cases (University of Padua).
by Diana Shendrikova - Russia is the second-largest producer of dry natural gas and third-largest producer of oil in the world. Moreover it is an important regional power with its economy, highly dependent from oil and gas exports. From Russia with energy is a weekly column of ISPI Energy Watch, aimed at bringing about the latest issues of Russia’s Energy Policy and at acquainting readers of the latest development in Russia’s economy and politics in response to the low oil prices and global geopolitical issues by analyzing the latest research on the topic and debate in the national media.
by Simona Benedettini - On December 16th, the first-ever capacity market auction in Europe has been held in UK. Great Britain is the first Member State implementing a capacity market to ensure supply security in the long-term, for its electricity sector. The design of the British capacity remuneration mechanism, and the results of the opening auction, provides useful insights to the debate currently interesting Europe about resource adequacy. In the following, once illustrated the theoretical and empirical background concerning the adoption of capacity remuneration mechanisms, a discussion of the features and results of the British auctions is developed. The analysis highlights important aspects to be kept in mind by those countries in the process of adopting a capacity market, including the contradictions between European and national energy policies that may arise even in the case of a well-designed mechanism such the UK ones.