Bolivia’s general elections are planned for 6th December, 2009, and the incumbent President Evo Morales and his “Movimiento al Socialismo” are likely to triumph.
Despite such certain outcome, the country is showing signs of a deeper and deeper fragmentation.
A perfect split is growing between the “native” altipiano (supporting Morales) and the “criollo” lowlands, gas rich and prone to a more liberal development approach. In 2009 Morales introduced a new “National Constitution” that the lowlands do not approve. There is a high probability that tensions will explode around the Election Day, as Morales’ victory will give him a strong mandate to carry on his agenda.