At the end of last month, Chad’s military junta, the Conseil Militaire de Transition (CMT), declared a general amnesty for nearly 300 individuals charged with “crimes of opinion,” “terrorism,” and “harming the integrity of the state.” The decision partially fulfills the preconditions demanded by the armed Chadian opposition for their participation in an inclusive national dialogue.
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The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on the Emirates, which celebrated the 50th anniversary of its foundation at a time of vibrant diplomatic dynamism at both the regional and international levels. Nonetheless, despite this new emphasis on promoting dialogue, several vital economic and security challenges are likely to remain at the top of the country's agenda.
Even in Africa, waves of three or more military coups d’état taking place in a single year seemed to belong to the past. Army takeovers had gradually gone out of fashion in recent decades, in line with trends that had seen this practice being largely demised across the world.
It is an acquired truth that Libya as a country, or better, a single entity did not come into being until 1934. Back then, the regions that composed Libya were assembled by the newly appointed Italian governor Italo Balbo into one whole unit to be administered. This period was cut short by Italy’s defeat in WWII: the country’s “liberation” resulted in its splitting into different areas, each under a European country’s mandate.
The “Abraham equation”, which refers here to the developing cooperation among the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, Israel, and the United States, strengthens regional maritime alliances in the Middle East, especially in the Red Sea. The main goal is still to counter Iran, its allies — such as Yemen’s Ansar Allah (the Houthis)— and proxies. However, the UAE, to a lesser extent Saudi Arabia (who did not normalise relations with Tel Aviv), and Israel increasingly show different perceptions and policies as regards Tehran.
When Libya goes to the polls next, a key question will regard the number of youth that turn up to vote. Over a decade after the overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi, the country’s chaos and dysfunction has resulted in interrupted lives, dashed hopes, and diminished prospects for the generation that has come of age in the post-Gaddafi period. More than half of Libya’s population is under 30 years of age. It’s a youth bulge that presents both challenges and opportunities. It’s also a demographic few Libyan political leaders have seriously engaged with up to now.
Since the emergence of COVID-19, the Middle East and North Africa region has been hit hard by several waves — and mutations — of the virus. Based on the number of cases per 100,000 population, countries like Bahrain, Israel, and Kuwait had the highest incidents, while Tunisia, Lebanon, and Iran recorded the highest death rate.
The unfolding humanitarian and political crisis in Ethiopia has left many observers pessimistic about the likelihood of an inclusive and peaceful solution to the protracted conflict. After months of fighting between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s central government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), the Ethiopian state is at real risk of collapse.
The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we focus on the Paris Conference on Libya, where representatives of national governments and international institutions with vested interests in the country gathered in support of the implementation of Libya’s transitional process.
Over one year after the initiation of the Ethiopian federal government’s law enforcement operation, the Tigray crisis has escalated into a widespread armed conflict. The fighting has had a devastating impact on an incalculable number of Ethiopians. The immense direct human toll has been accompanied by destruction and violence, forcing a great number of people to leave their homes and take refuge in other parts of the country or abroad.