With about six weeks to go until the 2022 U.S.
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China’s reaction to US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan was resolute. The military exercises with live-fire drill were a nearly Pavlovian reaction suggesting they were long pre-planned. China’s message to the US and the international community was a clear warning not to assist Taiwan, oppose a reunification, prevent a military escalation, or provide political support through visits and exchanges.
The current crisis in the Taiwan Strait— ignited by US Senate Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit in August — is the latest and most serious escalation of tensions so far. Unprecedentedly large live military air and sea drills, intimidation tactics, and increasing grey zone activities are, in a way, already changing the status quo in the Strait. The question of international support to Taiwan in this context has never been more acute, and Europe can hardly remain idle.
The gloves are off. Japan would – in the case of an unprovoked Chinese attack against Taiwan – get involved defending Taiwan militarily, showcasing that there is no scenario in which Japan could avoid getting involved in a military conflict scenario in the Taiwan Strait.
While the world’s eyes have been focused on Russia’s aggression in Ukraine, the political and economic playing field has been heating up across East Asia. China and Japan, the world’s second and third largest economies, respectively, – are heading towards more hostile relations, and the ripple effects of this are trickling down both in Asia as well as on global markets.
Japan’s official stance on its ‘one-China policy’ has not changed, and it still clearly wishes to obviate any Sino-Japanese tensions or unnecessary entanglement in a Taiwan Straits conflict.
The latest India-Japan 2+2 Foreign and Defence Ministerial Dialogue in September reiterated the two partners’ commitment to greater regional cooperation and integration in the Indo-Pacific. The 2+2 meetings are intended to provide “strategic guidance” to boost India-Japan ties, which were upgraded to Special Strategic and Global Partnership in 2014 by Prime Ministers Narendra Modi and Shinzo Abe.
China is the elephant in the (Asian) room. Its resolute reaction to the visit of US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi to Taipei, its clear will to 're-unify' Mainland China with Taiwan, together with the never-ending disputes in the East China Sea are pushing Japan to adopt a more active approach to regional geopolitics. To put it bluntly, traditional military deterrence and containment is the name of the game, and Japan is ready to play. As such, is China really planning to attack and annex Taiwan? If so, when?
Le linee del fronte in Siria sembrano essersi congelate da oltre due anni e mezzo, dopo l’accordo stipulato da Russia e Turchia nel marzo 2020. Allo stato attuale nel paese possono essere individuate sostanzialmente tre macroregioni:
Sul piano interno, gli ultimi mesi hanno confermato il percorso di lenta ma progressiva stabilizzazione dell’economia algerina iniziato già nell’ultimo trimestre del 2021, sulla spinta dei crescenti introiti provenienti dal comparto energetico e legati all’aumento dei prezzi del petrolio in seguito alla guerra in Ucraina. Queste risorse hanno consentito alle autorità di consolidare, almeno in parte, le finanze statali e avere un margine di manovra più ampio per affrontare il problema dell’inflazione.