Con il ritiro delle truppe USA entro l'11 settembre annunciato dal presidente Joe Biden, l'Afghanistan rischia di ricadere nelle mani dei talebani. Silvia Boccardi di Will e Francesco Rocchetti, segretario generale di ISPI, parlano con Paolo Magri, Vice Presidente Esecutivo di ISPI, di rischi e conseguenze della partenza USA.
The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analyses and informed comments on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we focus on Afghanistan and on what the US withdrawal by September 11, 2021, will mean both domestically and internationally. Also, what shoul we expect from the diplomatic talks between the Afghan government and the Taliban to be held in Turkey?
“Sono il quarto presidente a decidere sulla presenza delle truppe americane in Afghanistan. Due repubblicani. Due democratici. Non passerò la responsabilità a un quinto”.
Con una visita non annunciata, il segretario alla Difesa degli Stati Uniti, Lloyd J. Austin, domenica 21 marzo si è recato a Kabul, dove ha incontrato il presidente afghano, Ashraf Ghani, e i militari statunitensi.
A un anno dalla firma con cui il 29 febbraio 2020 l’allora segretario di Stato USA, Mike Pompeo, e il numero due dei Talebani, mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, hanno siglato uno storico accordo bilaterale, la pace in Afghanistan rimane lontana. E le prospettive di una riduzione sostanziale della violenza ancora effimere.
The year 2021 is the twentieth anniversary of the beginning of the US war in Afghanistan and marks a critical juncture for the country. President Joe Biden entered the Oval Office on January 20, and less than 100 days remain before May 1, 2021, the deadline for the US troops’ withdrawal according to the Doha agreement signed in February 2020 between the US and the Taliban. The Biden/Harris administration has a short time to decide whether to adhere to, revoke or renegotiate the terms of that deal.
Civil society (Jameya-e-Madani or Madani Tolana in Dari and Pashto), its understanding, and its relations with the state have evolved over time globally and also in the contemporary Afghan context.
The nascent peace and reconciliation process underway in Afghanistan is often described as “Afghan-owned” and “Afghan-led.” But in reality, Afghanistan’s neighbours (and America and the EU too) have played a big part in it.
Unlike other peace processes – from Colombia to the Philippines –, there is no exclusive Afghan government delegation to the officially so-called intra-Afghan negotiations that started in Doha (Qatar) in September 2020. Instead, a construct called the “negotiating team of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan” (IRoA team) with 21 members is facing the Taliban.
