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Europe

EU: Towards New Fiscal Rules?

EU fiscal rules will very likely remain on hold until at least 2022.   Last year, eurozone countries were able to implement sizeable fiscal easing after the EU triggered the general escape clause of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP), relaxing budgetary constraints. The general escape clause will continue to apply this year and in 2022, allowing countries to continue to pursue loose fiscal policies.

 

The EU's Hydrogen Strategy and its Geopolitical Challenges

The European Commission published its “European Green Energy Deal (EGD)” in December 2019 with the aim of reducing its CO2-emissions by 50-55 percent (instead of its previous goal of 40%) by 2030. The 27 EU member states have agreed to the EGD, a new climate law (codifying the new emission goal for 2030) and its “next generation fund”, which includes a €750bn economic recovery programme in the wake of the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic .

Decarbonising the European Economy: Hydrogen and Geopolitics

As the world progressively recognizes the need for “net zero” greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, renewed interest for hydrogen is surging. This need was implicit in the United Nations Framework Climate Change Convention’s ultimate objective, which calls for the stabilization of GHG atmospheric concentrations, though no agenda —and hence no standards— were set. The Paris Accord, by setting the target to limit the global temperature change to 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and striving to limit it to 1.5°C, has filled this void.

The Scramble for Mediterranean Hydrogen: Energy or Geopolitics?

Hydrogen has drawn great enthusiasm in both the public and private sector, particularly in the aftermath of the COVID-19 health and economic crisis. Governments and companies have announced numerous ambitious hydrogen plans. Hydrogen is indeed considered to be a useful tool to achieve both national climate targets (especially in hard-to-abate sectors) and a key driver for the economic recovery.

 

Mapping the European Union’s Presence in Somalia

In a statement released on April, 13th 2021,  EU Commission Vice-President Josep Borrell Fontelles expressed deep concern about the ongoing political and constitutional crisis in Somalia. In his words, the European Union “could under no circumstances accept an extension of the government mandate” without the parties agreeing to their previous electoral deal.

The Geopolitical Gambles in the Balkans
The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly impacted the Balkan countries, not only on the region's already fragile socio-economic systems but also on their precarious geopolitical balance framed between Europe and the East. Although the EU remains the main partner and aid supplier of the Western Balkans during the pandemic, the last two years have proven integration in the region to lose momentum, leaving the field open to other superpowers such as China and Russia, as the so-called vaccine diplomacy has showed.
Next Generation EU: A Common Debt to Tackle the Crisis

The pandemic has caused a very large increase in public and private debt all over the world. The G20 is deeply involved, in particular, in dealing with sustainability issues of poorest countries’ debt. In order to advance on this front, several measures are under discussion, including debt cancellation, various forms of restructuring, international risk sharing, and an increase in common debt issued via multilateral financial institutions.

What Does the Green Deal Mean For Russia?

In 1994 Russia ratified the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and subsequently took part in all of its Conferences of the Parties. The Kyoto Protocol, adopted in 1997, was ratified by Russia in 2004. Developed countries, including Russia, have committed themselves to an annual 5% emission reduction compared to 1990 levels. But for Russia, these commitments do not imply a real "environmental breakthrough".

The MENA Region in 2021: The Road Ahead

What does the future hold for the Middle East and North Africa? The second Rome MED Regional Meeting held last week provided an opportunity for experts to analyse and comment on the trends and challenges facing the region. The discussion was framed around MED’s 4 core pillars: Security, Prosperity, Migration, and Culture & Civil Society.

The Pandemic in the Balkans: Geopolitics and Democracy at Stake

One year after it landed in Europe, the Covid-19 pandemic has left a deep mark on the Western Balkans. On the one hand, it has exacerbated geopolitical dynamics that had been ongoing for decades, especially with regards to the activity of external actors. And while the EU has continued to be inconclusive, proceeding at a snail’s pace with its carrot-and-stick approach, China has seized on the opportunity and expanded its footprint.

A Pragmatic Shift: Evolving EU-Turkey Relations

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region's most significant issues and trends. Today, we turn the spotlight on the outcomes of the latest European Council, where the EU-Turkey relationship was discussed in light of the recent attempts to de-escalate the Eastern Mediterranean situation and Ankara's withdrawal from the Istanbul Convention. 

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The EU Offers Turkey a Fragile, Positive Agenda

The European Council meeting — which, among other things, discussed Turkey and the situation in the Eastern Mediterranean — offered a fragile, positive agenda in EU-Turkey relations and kicked the can down the road to the June meeting, as widely anticipated. The most important items of the positive agenda are as follows: additional financial aid for Syrian refugees in Turkey; the modernisation of the EU-Turkey customs union; high-level dialogue with Turkey on issues of common concerns and interests; and increasing people-to-people contact mechanisms.

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