As we approach the US-North Korea summit in Singapore, there is much speculation about the potential outcome. Will the US persuade North Korea to lay down its nuclear weapons programme? Will North Korea use the negotiations to incrementally secure resources and gains from the US side while keeping its trump card to the very end? Much speculation on the outcome has also centred around the two men's personalities, since so much of what has been different this time around seems to stem from their personal choices.
The "Indo-Pacific" is the geopolitical referent for the Trump administration’s foreign policy toward Asia – East, Southeast and South – and the Pacific. Since it was first articulated in November 2017, the concept has taken on a more normative tinge and is now an integral part of the larger "Free and Open Indo-Pacific Strategy”. As much is implicit in the phrase as is explicit, however, and those assumptions are perhaps even more important.
Trade wars are becoming a reality. After a short period of apparent detente, US President Donald Trump recently declared that Washington is ready to levy tariffs on Chinese imports for $50bn, as well as broader investment restrictions. Now, trade talks have come to an impasse: the US Administration will also impose steel and aluminum tariffs on the European Union, as well on Mexico and Canada.
Trade between Italy and the USA has traditionally been significant and the two countries are close trade partners. The importance of the American market for Italian firms is today at its peak after many years. The US is the third foreign market for Italian exports, in 2017 accounting for 9% of the overall value of Italian goods sold abroad. In 2017, Italian exports of goods to the USA were worth over 40 billion euros, increasing remarkably in the past five years, while exports of services amounted to over 9 billion euros.
Donald Trump won the Presidency promising to upend decades of American trade policy. A year and a half into his administration, has he delivered on these promises? And what is the future of American trade policy?
Will Trump Launch a Trade War?
Mike Pence la mette sempre sul piano della “Morale”: la sua, molto ristretta e discutibile. Certo di essere illuminato da Dio, il vicepresidente americano è il campione dei cristiani evangelisti ultra-conservatori. Nella gioia e nel dolore, il suo sguardo è inespressivo: una via di mezzo fra chi è perennemente in attesa di un segno del cielo, e i nostri democristiani baciapile d’un tempo. “Pensa che Gesù gli dica di dire le cose che dice”, aveva detto una conduttrice della rete ABC. La sua fede, aveva aggiunto, “è una malattia mentale”.
La morte - nel settembre del 2016 - di Islam Karimov, che per quasi tre decenni ha governato prima come Segretario del Partito Comunista poi come Presidente dell'Uzbekistan indipendente, sembra aver aperto una nuova fase politica per questo paese importante centroasiatico. Il suo successore, Shavkat Mirziyoev, che pure era stato Primo Ministro per 13 anni, ha infatti impostato una strategia di ampio rinnovamento tanto nella sfera economica quanto in quella sociale.